Is Bitcoin a bubble?

P Chaim, MP Laurini - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2019 - Elsevier
The narrative of a Bitcoin is a bubble is very common. We employ statistical techniques to
empirically evaluate such claim. A branch of literature links the existence of a bubble in …

Asset price bubbles

RA Jarrow - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2015 - annualreviews.org
This article reviews the theoretical literature on asset price bubbles, with an emphasis on the
martingale theory of bubbles. The key questions studied are as follows: First, under what …

A mathematical theory of financial bubbles

FE Benth, D Crisan, P Guasoni, K Manolarakis… - Paris-Princeton Lectures …, 2013 - Springer
Over the last 10 years or so a mathematical theory of bubbles has emerged, in the spirit of a
martingale theory based on an absence of arbitrage, as opposed to an equilibrium theory …

[HTML][HTML] Prospects for utilisation of non-vacancy Internet data in labour market analysis—an overview

K Lenaerts, M Beblavý, B Fabo - IZA Journal of Labor Economics, 2016 - Springer
Along with the advancement of the Internet in the last decade, researchers have increasingly
identified the web as a research platform and a data source, pointing out its value for labour …

Can we use volatility to diagnose financial bubbles? Lessons from 40 historical bubbles

D Sornette, P Cauwels, G Smilyanov - Quantitative Finance and …, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
We inspect the price volatility before, during, and after financial asset bubbles in order to
uncover possible commonalities and check empirically whether volatility might be used as …

Inefficient bubbles and efficient drawdowns in financial markets

M Schatz, D Sornette - … Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 2020 - World Scientific
At odds with the common “rational expectations” framework for bubbles, economists like
Hyman Minsky, Charles Kindleberger and Robert Shiller have documented that irrational …

Inferring financial bubbles from option data

RA Jarrow, SS Kwok - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Financial bubbles arise when the underlying asset's market price deviates from its
fundamental value. Unlike other bubble tests that use time series data and assume a …

Does the bond‐stock earnings yield differential model predict equity market corrections better than high P/E models?

S Lleo, WT Ziemba - Financial Markets, Institutions & …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We extend the literature on crash prediction models in three main ways. First, we explicitly
relate crash prediction measures and asset pricing models. Second, we present a statistical …

Detecting asset price bubbles using deep learning

F Biagini, L Gonon, A Mazzon… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
In this paper we employ deep learning techniques to detect financial asset bubbles by using
observed call option prices. The proposed algorithm is widely applicable and model …

Stock market crashes in 2007–2009: were we able to predict them?

S Lleo, WT Ziemba - Quantitative Finance, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
1. Background The second author started using the bond stock earnings yield differential
(BSEYD) model while in Tokyo consulting at the Yamaichi Research Institute in 1988. The …