Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence
This paper makes three contributions to the literature on forecasting stock returns. First,
unlike the extant literature on oil price and stock returns, we focus on out-of-sample …
unlike the extant literature on oil price and stock returns, we focus on out-of-sample …
Forecasting stock returns
We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by
forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on US equity …
forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on US equity …
Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence
This paper, using data for 16 countries, tests whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU)
predicts stock excess returns. First, we show that the ability of EPU to forecast stock returns …
predicts stock excess returns. First, we show that the ability of EPU to forecast stock returns …
Financial market risks during the COVID-19 pandemic
This article examines the nature of time-varying systematic risk for both Islamic and non-
Islamic sectoral indices during COVID-19. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioral …
Islamic sectoral indices during COVID-19. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioral …
Are Indian stock returns predictable?
PK Narayan, D Bannigidadmath - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted
on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability …
on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability …
Intraday volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity markets
This paper investigates the price volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity
markets in the US using 5-min data over the period 2009–2012. Our main findings can be …
markets in the US using 5-min data over the period 2009–2012. Our main findings can be …
Understanding time-varying systematic risks in Islamic and conventional sectoral indices
This paper examines the nature of time-varying systematic risk for both Islamic and non-
Islamic sectoral indices. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioural changes in beta …
Islamic sectoral indices. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioural changes in beta …
Return predictability and dynamic asset allocation: How often should investors rebalance?
H Almadi, DE Rapach, A Suri - Journal of Portfolio …, 2014 - search.proquest.com
To exploit return predictability via dynamic asset allocation, investors face the important
practical issue of how often to rebalance their portfolios. More frequent rebalancing uses …
practical issue of how often to rebalance their portfolios. More frequent rebalancing uses …
Cross-sectional return dispersion and the equity premium
P Maio - Journal of Financial Markets, 2016 - Elsevier
In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information
about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at …
about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at …
[HTML][HTML] A model-free approach to do long-term volatility forecasting and its variants
K Wu, S Karmakar - Financial Innovation, 2023 - Springer
Volatility forecasting is important in financial econometrics and is mainly based on the
application of various GARCH-type models. However, it is difficult to choose a specific …
application of various GARCH-type models. However, it is difficult to choose a specific …