Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence

DHB Phan, SS Sharma, PK Narayan - International Review of Financial …, 2015 - Elsevier
This paper makes three contributions to the literature on forecasting stock returns. First,
unlike the extant literature on oil price and stock returns, we focus on out-of-sample …

Forecasting stock returns

D Rapach, G Zhou - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by
forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on US equity …

Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence

DHB Phan, SS Sharma, VT Tran - Journal of International Financial Markets …, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper, using data for 16 countries, tests whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU)
predicts stock excess returns. First, we show that the ability of EPU to forecast stock returns …

Financial market risks during the COVID-19 pandemic

O Haroon, M Ali, A Khan, MA Khattak… - … Markets Finance and …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
This article examines the nature of time-varying systematic risk for both Islamic and non-
Islamic sectoral indices during COVID-19. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioral …

Are Indian stock returns predictable?

PK Narayan, D Bannigidadmath - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted
on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability …

Intraday volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity markets

DHB Phan, SS Sharma, PK Narayan - Journal of International Financial …, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the price volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity
markets in the US using 5-min data over the period 2009–2012. Our main findings can be …

Understanding time-varying systematic risks in Islamic and conventional sectoral indices

SAR Rizvi, S Arshad - Economic Modelling, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper examines the nature of time-varying systematic risk for both Islamic and non-
Islamic sectoral indices. The novelty lies in the analysis of behavioural changes in beta …

Return predictability and dynamic asset allocation: How often should investors rebalance?

H Almadi, DE Rapach, A Suri - Journal of Portfolio …, 2014 - search.proquest.com
To exploit return predictability via dynamic asset allocation, investors face the important
practical issue of how often to rebalance their portfolios. More frequent rebalancing uses …

Cross-sectional return dispersion and the equity premium

P Maio - Journal of Financial Markets, 2016 - Elsevier
In this paper, I examine whether stock return dispersion (RD) provides useful information
about future stock returns. RD consistently forecasts a decline in the excess market return at …

[HTML][HTML] A model-free approach to do long-term volatility forecasting and its variants

K Wu, S Karmakar - Financial Innovation, 2023 - Springer
Volatility forecasting is important in financial econometrics and is mainly based on the
application of various GARCH-type models. However, it is difficult to choose a specific …